Fair Grounds Race 7

Allowance

Prize Money: $78,459

FIRE MOON (3) wasted no time getting off the mark as favourite on debut over 1207m at Churchill Downs (Dirt) ten weeks ago and has not been produced since. Looks promising and can measure up again. SEA TO SKY (5) closed off strongly last start to get up for third, beaten 1.1 lengths, over 1710m at this track. Nice class drop this time. Sure to be there at the finish. ANONIMA (2) last appeared when she finished third over 1509m at Churchill Downs (Dirt) on June 21. Looks a strong top-three prospect. LOW KEY (6) missed the placings two runs back then didn't do any better last start when 11 lengths away in sixth over 1710m at Oaklawn Park. Likely improver with strong top-three prospects.

Distance: 1710m
Track: Fast
Weather: Fine
Surface: Dirt
Class: ALLOW

Racing and Sports™ Trusted form provider for 20+ years

Dawn After Dawn (1) 66x4321475
Trainer: Michael Stidham(@Tomhaggard, Co Wexford)
Jockey: Paco Lopez
Weight: 54.5kg
Prize Money: $93,527
Win / Place: 8.33% / 41%

4 yo Bay Filly

Sire: COMPLEXITY (USA)

Dam: KENCHO (USA)

Dam's Sire: Fusaichi Pegasus

Rating

Stats

Career

12: 1-1-3

Distance

6: 1-0-1

1st Up

2: 0-0-0

2nd Up

2: 0-0-2

3rd Up

2: 0-1-1

4th Up

2: 1-0-0

Metro

11: 1-1-3

Non-Metro

1: 0-0-0

Turf

2: 0-1-1

Synthetic

1: 0-0-0

Dirt

9: 1-0-2

Fast

2: 0-1-1

Anti-Clockwise

12: 1-1-3

Jockey Stats

Trainer

W 0% P 0%

Distance

W 0% P 0%

Track

W 0% P 0%

Trainer/Track

W 0% P 0%

Trainer/Distance

W 0% P 0%

Distance Range Last 6 months

1609m - 1710m

Gear Changes

blinker on.

Comments

Comes off a 50 day let-up. Most recently raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 11 at Turfway Park on December 19 over 1609m, 5.5 len behind Wild Acclaim carrying 53.5kg at $2.30. Before that second last of 8 at Churchill Downs on November 15 over 1710m, 11 len behind Faire Plaisir with 51.5kg at $17.39. Others make more appeal.

Expected Settling Position: Midfield

Last Starts days since last start

Place	Date	Track	Distance	Class	Barrier	Jockey	Weight	Cond.	Race Time	Avg. Speed	Margin	800/400	SP	Days	Prize	Prize Won	Result
5th of 11	19/12/25	Turfway Park	1609m	CLM FM 3U	2	Joseph D Ramos	53.5kg	Fast	1:38.47	58.8 km/h	5.5L	2-3	$2.30f	34	$60,643	$1,714	1. Wild Acclaim 2. Eddie's Angel 3. Birkin Girl
34 Day Freshen-Up
7th of 8	15/11/25	Churchill Downs	1710m	ALLOW FM 3U	1	Jose Ramos Gutierrez	51.5kg	Fast	1:44.85	58.7 km/h	11.6L	5-7	$17	38	$126,718	$1,818	1. Faire Plaisir 2. Miss Ellary 3. Angel Bella
38 Day Freshen-Up
4th of 6	8/10/25	Indiana Downs	1673m	ALLOW FM 3U	5	Jose Ramos Gutierrez	52kg	Fast	1:42.47	58.8 km/h	14.6L	3-6	$4.40	23	$51,750	$2,588	1. Miss Authentic 2. Calamity 3. Surprise
1st of 12	15/9/25	Indiana Downs	1673m	MDN FM 3U	12	Emmanuel Esquivel	54.5kg	Fast	1:42.64	58.7 km/h	2.0L	5-1	$2.00f	28	$48,930	$29,358	1. Dawn After Dawn 2. Indict 3. Poverty With Aview
2nd of 8	18/8/25	Ellis Park	1710m	MDN CLM FM 3	5	Edgar Morales	53.5kg	FM	1:40.36	61.3 km/h	0.8L	5-1	$1.55f	35	$62,016	$12,047	1. My Sexy Blonde 2. Dawn After Dawn 3. West Coast Dream
35 Day Freshen-Up
3rd of 11	14/7/25	Ellis Park	1609m	MDN CLM FM 3	4	Edgar Morales	53.5kg	FM	1:35.03	61.0 km/h	0.4L	4-2	$7.84	30	$61,162	$5,765	1. Oak Alley 2. Risky Wave 3. Dawn After Dawn

Anonima (2) 741163443x
Trainer: Kenneth G Mcpeek(USA)
Jockey: Colby Hernandez
Weight: 54.5kg
Prize Money: $229,741
Win / Place: 22% / 44%

4 yo Dark Bay/Brown Filly

Sire: SHARP AZTECA (USA)

Dam: ROYAL STARLIGHT (USA)

Dam's Sire: Point Given

Rating

Stats

Career

9: 2-0-2

Distance

6: 2-0-1

Trk/Dst

1: 1-0-0

Track

1: 1-0-0

1st Up

1: 0-0-0

2nd Up

1: 0-0-0

3rd Up

1: 1-0-0

4th Up

1: 1-0-0

Metro

9: 2-0-2

Dirt

9: 2-0-2

Anti-Clockwise

9: 2-0-2

Jockey Stats

Horse

1: 0-0-0

Trainer

W 0% P 0%

Distance

W 0% P 0%

Track

W 0% P 0%

Trainer/Track

W 0% P 0%

Trainer/Distance

W 0% P 0%

Comments

Resuming after a eight months break. Finished off last preparation third of 7 at Churchill Downs June 21 over 1509m, 4 len behind Flash Wear with 54.5kg at $2.01. On debut seventh of 10 at Churchill Downs November 2 2024 over 1207m, 12 len behind Wisconsin Gal carrying 54kg at $17.07. Can go on with the job this prep.

Expected Settling Position: Midfield

Last Starts days since last start

Place	Date	Track	Distance	Class	Barrier	Jockey	Weight	Cond.	Race Time	Avg. Speed	Margin	800/400	SP	Days	Prize	Prize Won	Result
3rd of 7	21/6/25	Churchill Downs	1509m	ALLOW F 3	7	Brian Joseph Hernandez Jr	54.5kg	Fast	1:28.19	61.6 km/h	4.0L	6-1	$2.01f	21	$129,082	$12,908	1. Flash Wear 2. Daisy Duke 3. Anonima
4th of 8	31/5/25	Churchill Downs	1710m	ALLOW OCLM F	2	J R Leparoux	53.5kg	Fast	1:43.06	59.7 km/h	9.5L	3-3	$9.05	42	$198,438	$9,922	1. Clicquot 2. Heavenly Sunset 3. Especially
42 Day Freshen-Up
4th of 7	19/4/25	Oaklawn Park	1609m	LR OPEN F 3	2	Nik Juarez	53kg	Fast	1:39.17	58.4 km/h	2.5L	4-3	$7.30	35	$319,489	$18,211	1. Princess Aliyah 2. Dare To Fly 3. Quantum Burst
35 Day Freshen-Up
3rd of 6	15/3/25	Colonial Downs	1710m	LR OPEN F 3	3	Nik Juarez	55.5kg	Fast	1:42.51	60.1 km/h	1.0L	4-1	$6.40	20	$396,197	$43,582	1. Fondly 2. Early On 3. Anonima
6th of 13	23/2/25	Oaklawn Park	1710m	G3 OPEN F 3	11	Brian Joseph Hernandez Jr	53.5kg	Fast	1:43.63	59.4 km/h	10.8L	9-7	$29	35	$805,153	$20,129	1. Quietside 2. Five G 3. Muhimma
35 Day Freshen-Up
1st of 7	19/1/25	Fairgrounds	1710m	ALLOW OCLM F	4	Brian Joseph Hernandez Jr	55.5kg	Fast	1:46.57	57.8 km/h	2.0L	1-2	$11	30	$93,548	$56,129	1. Anonima 2. California Sunset 3. Mad About Marie

Fire Moon (3) 1x
Trainer: Cherie Devaux()
Jockey: Axel Concepcion
Weight: 54.5kg
Prize Money: $71,221
Win / Place: 100% / 100%

4 yo Chestnut Filly

Sire: JUSTIFY (USA)

Dam: GRAZIE MILLE (USA)

Dam's Sire: Bernardini

Rating

Stats

Career

1: 1-0-0

1st Up

1: 1-0-0

Metro

1: 1-0-0

Dirt

1: 1-0-0

Anti-Clockwise

1: 1-0-0

Jockey Stats

Trainer

W 0% P 0%

Distance

W 0% P 0%

Track

W 0% P 0%

Trainer/Track

W 0% P 0%

Trainer/Distance

W 0% P 0%

Distance Range Last 6 months

1207m

Comments

Resuming after a break; only one run when won by a nose at Churchill Downs November 30 over 1207m defeating Texas Queen with 55.5kg at $2.07. Definite winning hope.

Expected Settling Position: Midfield

Last Starts days since last start

Place	Date	Track	Distance	Class	Barrier	Jockey	Weight	Cond.	Race Time	Avg. Speed	Margin	800/400	SP	Days	Prize	Prize Won	Result
1st of 7	30/11/25	Churchill Downs	1207m	MDN FM 3U	5	I Ortiz Jr	55.5kg	Fast	1:10.76	61.4 km/h	0.1L	6-2	$2.07f	-	$183,206	$71,221	1. Fire Moon, Mimi's Grace 2. 3. Texas Queen

Place

Date

Track

Distance

Class

Barrier

Jockey

Weight

Cond.

Race Time

Avg. Speed

Margin

800/400

Days

Prize

Prize Won

Result

1st of 7

30/11/25

Churchill Downs

1207m

MDN FM 3U

I Ortiz Jr

55.5kg

Fast

1:10.76

61.4 km/h

0.1L

6-2

$2.07f

$183,206

$71,221

1. Fire Moon, Mimi's Grace

3. Texas Queen

Sierra November (4) 741x8x4
Trainer: Joe Sharp()
Jockey: Brian Hernandez, Jr.
Weight: 54.5kg
Prize Money: $62,610
Win / Place: 20% / 20%

4 yo Dark Bay/Brown Filly

Sire: GLOBAL CAMPAIGN (USA)

Dam: SWAMPOODLE (USA)

Dam's Sire: Broken Vow

Rating

Stats

Career

5: 1-0-0

Distance

3: 1-0-0

Trk/Dst

2: 1-0-0

Track

4: 1-0-0

Season

1: 0-0-0

1st Up

3: 0-0-0

2nd Up

1: 0-0-0

3rd Up

1: 1-0-0

Metro

5: 1-0-0

Dirt

5: 1-0-0

Anti-Clockwise

5: 1-0-0

Jockey Stats

Horse

4: 1-0-0

Trainer

W 0% P 0%

Distance

W 0% P 0%

Track

W 0% P 0%

Trainer/Track

W 0% P 0%

Trainer/Distance

W 0% P 0%

Distance Range Last 6 months

1673m - 1710m

Comments

Having second run back today. Last outing 4th of 7 at this track on January 10 over 1673m, 5 len behind Chasten carrying 54.5kg at $12.90. At only start last preparation second last of 9 at Keeneland on October 18 over 1710m, 32 len behind Eunomia carrying 53.5kg at $11.91. Must improve significantly.

Expected Settling Position: Backmarker

Last Starts days since last start

Place	Date	Track	Distance	Class	Barrier	Jockey	Weight	Cond.	Race Time	Avg. Speed	Margin	800/400	SP	Days	Prize	Prize Won	Result
4th of 7	10/1/26	Fairgrounds	1673m	ALLOW FM 4U	5	Brian Joseph Hernandez Jr	54.5kg	Good	1:42.67	58.7 km/h	5.3L	7-5	$13	84	$82,212	$4,933	1. Chasten 2. Rising Inflation 3. Union Mist
84 Day Spell
8th of 9	18/10/25	Keeneland	1710m	ALLOW FM 3U	3	Tyler Gaffalione	53.5kg	Fast	1:44.55	58.9 km/h	32.8L	9-8	$12	213	$182,648	$2,283	1. Eunomia 2. Snowyte 3. Take Charge Omaha
213 Day Spell
1st of 8	19/3/25	Fairgrounds	1710m	MDN F 3	1	Brian Joseph Hernandez Jr	54.5kg	Fast	1:44.72	58.8 km/h	1.8L	7-2	$1.60f	32	$83,467	$50,080	1. Sierra November 2. Bundle 3. Protocol
32 Day Freshen-Up
4th of 9	15/2/25	Fairgrounds	1207m	MDN F 3	9	Brian Joseph Hernandez Jr	54.5kg	Fast	1:09.86	62.2 km/h	11.0L	5-4	$5.50	26	$88,567	$5,314	1. Velvet Vortex 2. Velvet Devil 3. Atarah
7th of 10	20/1/25	Fairgrounds	1207m	MDN F 3	1	Brian Joseph Hernandez Jr	54.5kg	Fast	1:10.99	61.2 km/h	8.7L	10-7	$4.70	-	$93,548	-	1. Trouble In Love 2. Velvet Devil 3. Daring Madison

Sea To Sky (5) x892x85x63
Trainer: Cherie Devaux(Kimpton, Hants)
Jockey: Jareth Loveberry
Weight: 54.5kg
Prize Money: $69,458
Win / Place: 10% / 50%

4 yo Bay Filly

Sire: WITHOUT PAROLE (GB)

Dam: BEYOND THE SEA (USA)

Dam's Sire: Sea The Stars

Rating

Stats

Career

10: 1-2-2

Trk/Dst

1: 0-0-1

1st Up

4: 0-1-0

2nd Up

4: 1-0-1

3rd Up

2: 0-1-1

Metro

10: 1-2-2

Turf

10: 1-2-2

Good

5: 1-2-0

Heavy

1: 0-0-1

Fast

4: 0-0-1

Clockwise

4: 1-2-0

Anti-Clockwise

6: 0-0-2

Jockey Stats

Trainer

W 0% P 0%

Distance

W 0% P 0%

Track

W 0% P 0%

Trainer/Track

W 0% P 0%

Trainer/Distance

W 0% P 0%

Distance Range Last 6 months

1609m - 1811m

Comments

Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. Not raced for 42 days. First-up 6th of 10 at Churchill Downs in the G2 Mrs. Revere Stakes on November 28 over 1710m, 3.5 len behind Lush Lips carrying 53.5kg at $45.90. Last start 3rd of 8 at this track in LR on December 27 over 1710m, 1.1 len behind Hear The Queen carrying 52.5kg at $12.40. Has the ability to take this out.

Expected Settling Position: Off Midfield

Last Starts days since last start

Place	Date	Track	Distance	Class	Barrier	Jockey	Weight	Cond.	Race Time	Avg. Speed	Margin	800/400	SP	Days	Prize	Prize Won	Result
3rd of 8	27/12/25	Fairgrounds	1710m	LR OPEN F 3	1	D Cannon	52.5kg	FM	1:43.31	59.6 km/h	1.1L	6-5	$12	29	$153,139	$15,314	1. Hear The Queen 2. Cheetah Lady 3. Sea To Sky
6th of 10	28/11/25	Churchill Downs	1710m	G2 OPEN F 3	4	Brian Joseph Hernandez Jr	53.5kg	FM	1:41.75	60.5 km/h	3.5L	10-4	$46	69	$458,015	$3,817	1. Lush Lips 2. Pretty Picture 3. Classic Q
69 Day Spell
5th of 8	20/9/25	Belmont At The Big A	1609m	G3 OPEN F 3	8	Luis R Rivera (Jnr)	53.5kg	FM	1:35.29	60.8 km/h	3.8L	7-7	$20	20	$267,584	$10,703	1. Ready For Candy 2. Paradise City 3. Decadent
8th of 10	31/8/25	Saratoga	1811m	ALLOW OCLM F	7	John R Velazquez	54.5kg	FM	1:50.37	59.1 km/h	3.8L	7-8	$6.50	72	$170,543	$1,023	1. Don't Jinx It 2. Cliffs 3. Obeissante
72 Day Spell
2nd of 5	20/6/25	Goodwood	1609m	HCP 3	5	Hector Crouch	61.5kg	Good Firm	1:39.56	58.2 km/h	0.3L	1-1	$10	20	$22,960	$5,732	1. Organ 2. Sea To Sky 3. General Admission
9th of 11	31/5/25	Haydock Park	1408m	HCP F 3U	1	Rossa Ryan	58.5kg	Good	1:31.44	55.4 km/h	9.0L	5-8	$8.50	28	$45,370	-	1. Oolong Poobong 2. Arabian Leopard 3. Callianassa

Low Key (6) 3x16x12246
Trainer: Thomas M Amoss()
Jockey: Ben Curtis
Weight: 54.5kg
Prize Money: $231,525
Win / Place: 22% / 55%

4 yo Bay Filly

Sire: BOLT D'ORO (USA)

Dam: BERNARDA (USA)

Dam's Sire: Bernardini

Rating

Stats

Career

9: 2-2-1

Distance

3: 0-1-0

Track

1: 1-0-0

1st Up

3: 2-0-0

2nd Up

3: 0-1-1

3rd Up

1: 0-1-0

4th Up

1: 0-0-0

Metro

9: 2-2-1

Dirt

9: 2-2-1

Anti-Clockwise

9: 2-2-1

Jockey Stats

Trainer

W 0% P 0%

Distance

W 0% P 0%

Track

W 0% P 0%

Trainer/Track

W 0% P 0%

Trainer/Distance

W 0% P 0%

Distance Range Last 6 months

1609m - 1811m

Comments

Returns from a 48-day let-up. Most recently 6th of 11 at Oaklawn Park on December 21 over 1710m, 11 len behind Miss Authentic carrying 53kg at $5.40. The start before that 4th of 7 at Churchill Downs on November 14 over 1811m, 6 len behind Take Charge Omaha with 53.5kg at $4.76. Likely to play a big role.

Expected Settling Position: Backmarker

Last Starts days since last start

Place	Date	Track	Distance	Class	Barrier	Jockey	Weight	Cond.	Race Time	Avg. Speed	Margin	800/400	SP	Days	Prize	Prize Won	Result
6th of 11	21/12/25	Oaklawn Park	1710m	ALLOW FM 3U	3	Ramon A Vazquez	53kg	Fast	1:44.67	58.8 km/h	11.8L	9-8	$5.40	37	$176,110	$1,259	1. Miss Authentic 2. Floating Beauty 3. Adogate
37 Day Freshen-Up
4th of 7	14/11/25	Churchill Downs	1811m	ALLOW FM 3U	1	Jose Ortiz	53.5kg	Fast	1:50.07	59.2 km/h	6.0L	6-5	$4.76	49	$193,893	$9,695	1. Take Charge Omaha 2. Ivory And Ebony 3. Five A Side
49 Day Freshen-Up
2nd of 12	26/9/25	Churchill Downs	1710m	ALLOW FM 3U	4	Jose Ortiz	53.5kg	Fast	1:44.15	59.1 km/h	4.0L	12-4	$2.69f	25	$194,190	$38,838	1. Being Myself 2. Low Key 3. Union Mist
2nd of 10	1/9/25	Saratoga	1609m	ALLOW FM 3U	6	Jose Ortiz	54kg	Fast	1:38.33	58.9 km/h	1.3L	10-5	$13	52	$168,196	$33,639	1. Cue The Duckboats 2. Low Key 3. Fully Subscribed
52 Day Freshen-Up
1st of 6	11/7/25	Saratoga	1408m	CLM F 3	4	Jose Ortiz	55.5kg	Fast	1:24.20	60.2 km/h	1.3L	6-4	$3.70	118	$145,260	$79,893	1. Low Key 2. Madeline's Promise 3. Always Practical
118 Day Spell
6th of 6	15/3/25	Colonial Downs	1710m	LR OPEN F 3	2	Sheldon Russell	55.5kg	Fast	1:42.51	60.1 km/h	17.8L	5-6	$31	20	$396,197	$1,902	1. Fondly 2. Early On 3. Anonima

Union Mist (7) 155x643563
Trainer: Brendan P Walsh(@Tomhaggard, Co Wexford)
Jockey: Declan Cannon
Weight: 54.5kg
Prize Money: $289,789
Win / Place: 5.56% / 44%

5 yo Bay Mare

Sire: UNION RAGS (USA)

Dam: MISTY AMERICAN (USA)

Dam's Sire: Quiet American

100

Rating

Stats

Career

18: 1-3-4

Distance

7: 1-1-3

Trk/Dst

5: 0-1-2

Track

4: 0-1-2

Season

1: 0-0-1

1st Up

3: 1-0-0

2nd Up

3: 0-1-0

3rd Up

3: 0-0-2

4th Up

2: 0-0-0

Metro

17: 1-3-4

Non-Metro

1: 0-0-0

Turf

4: 0-1-0

Good

1: 0-0-0

Synthetic

1: 0-0-0

Dirt

13: 1-2-4

Fast

3: 0-1-0

Anti-Clockwise

18: 1-3-4

Jockey Stats

Horse

1: 0-0-1

Trainer

W 0% P 0%

Distance

W 0% P 0%

Track

W 0% P 0%

Trainer/Track

W 0% P 0%

Trainer/Distance

W 0% P 0%

Distance Range Last 6 months

1609m - 2012m

Comments

At the latest run held ground to the line 3rd of 7 at this track on January 10 over 1673m, 4 len behind Chasten with 54.5kg at $14.50. The race before that 6th of 10 at Turfway Park on December 10 over 2012m, 10 len behind Love Song carrying 55kg at $14.39. Sure to be about the money.

Expected Settling Position: Midfield

Last Starts days since last start

Place	Date	Track	Distance	Class	Barrier	Jockey	Weight	Cond.	Race Time	Avg. Speed	Margin	800/400	SP	Days	Prize	Prize Won	Result
3rd of 7	10/1/26	Fairgrounds	1673m	ALLOW FM 4U	7	D Cannon	54.5kg	Good	1:42.67	58.7 km/h	3.8L	3-1	$15	31	$82,212	$9,043	1. Chasten 2. Rising Inflation 3. Union Mist
31 Day Freshen-Up
6th of 10	10/12/25	Turfway Park	2012m	ALLOW OCLM F	4	Edgar Morales	55kg	Fast	2:02.82	59.0 km/h	10.3L	7-8	$14	26	$156,202	$1,213	1. Love Song 2. Celtic Charm 3. Good Game
5th of 7	14/11/25	Churchill Downs	1811m	ALLOW FM 3U	5	Tyler Gaffalione	55kg	Fast	1:50.07	59.2 km/h	7.3L	5-4	$13	49	$193,893	$5,817	1. Take Charge Omaha 2. Ivory And Ebony 3. Five A Side
49 Day Freshen-Up
3rd of 12	26/9/25	Churchill Downs	1710m	ALLOW FM 3U	8	Tyler Gaffalione	55.5kg	Fast	1:44.15	59.1 km/h	4.8L	11-3	$10	41	$194,190	$19,419	1. Being Myself 2. Low Key 3. Union Mist
41 Day Freshen-Up
4th of 5	16/8/25	Ellis Park	1609m	ALLOW FM 3U	5	Brian Joseph Hernandez Jr	56kg	Fast	1:37.07	59.7 km/h	4.0L	4-3	$5.67	43	$158,140	$7,907	1. Lemon Zest 2. Seraphia 3. Vino Tiempo
43 Day Freshen-Up
6th of 6	4/7/25	Ellis Park	1609m	ALLOW FM 3U	6	Edgar Morales	56kg	FM	1:33.69	61.8 km/h	4.7L	2-2	$6.04	233	$155,963	$2,465	1. Candy Bar 2. Winning Streep 3. Missy Bee
233 Day Spell

Race Review Abbreviations

3WNC: Three wide no cover, Awk: Awkwardly away, Bk: Back, Blkd: Blocked, Btld: Battled, Chal: Challenged, Chkd: Checked, Cvr: Cover, Fdd: Faded, Fght: Fought, Fin: Finish, Hdd: Headed, Hld up: Held up, Hmprd: Hampered, Hndy: Handy, Kikd: Kicked, Kn: Keen, Ld: Led/Lead, Midf: Midfield, Mod pc: Moderate pace, Otf: On the Fence, ROS: Ran on strongly, Slow: Slow away, Snagd: Snagged, Stld: Settled, Tn: Turn, Trld: Trailed, Under pres: Under pressure, Under rd: Under riding, Urgd: Urged, Wd: Wide, Wdr: Wider, Weavd: Weaved, Wknd: Weakened, Wrkd: Worked

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