Kasamatsu Race 7

1400

Prize Money: $7,595

KITANO KOSEI (3) Tidy run when 3rd last start at this track. Should take beating. VILLA LOBOS (6) Disappointing display when 6th last run at the track. Expected to rebound. Has good finishing speed. Sure to be thereabouts. SATSUKI MERMAID (5) Finished 5th last start here. Can show a better performance this time. Finishes off strongly. Can measure up to this company. SUPER CARMEN (7) Did well when 3rd last run at this venue. Not out of this.

Distance: 1400m
Track: Good
Weather: -
Surface: Dirt
Class: COND

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Dan Stone Cheers (1) 4228279488
Trainer: Takashi Shibata()
Jockey: Shin Higashikawa
Weight: 55kg
Prize Money: $9,231
Win / Place: 0% / 16%

3 yo Chestnut Filly

Sire: TOHO JACKAL (JPN)

Dam: NAGO NAGO YURI (JPN)

Rating

Stats

Career

25: 0-4-0

Distance

13: 0-3-0

Trk/Dst

13: 0-3-0

Track

15: 0-4-0

Season

13: 0-4-0

1st Up

1: 0-0-0

2nd Up

1: 0-0-0

3rd Up

1: 0-0-0

4th Up

1: 0-0-0

Non-Metro

25: 0-4-0

Dirt

25: 0-4-0

Firm

16: 0-2-0

Clockwise

25: 0-4-0

Jockey Stats

Horse

11: 0-4-0

Trainer

W 0% P 0%

Distance

W 0% P 0%

Track

W 0% P 0%

Trainer/Track

W 0% P 0%

Trainer/Distance

W 0% P 0%

Distance Range Last 6 months

800m - 1400m

Comments

Has to turn around two poor Kasamatsu runs, the latest when last behind Topaz Tesoro after being unwanted in the market and weak through the line. The start prior was also last, beaten over 16 lengths by Kokorono Hikoboshi, so there is no recent excuse to lean on. The class drop and Shin Higashikawa returning help, with four placings from eleven together, but she must lift sharply to justify support.

Expected Settling Position: Midfield

Last Starts days since last start

Place	Date	Track	Distance	Class	Barrier	Jockey	Weight	Cond.	Race Time	Avg. Speed	Margin	800/400	SP	Days	Prize	Prize Won	Result
8th of 8	27/8/26	Kasamatsu	1400m	COND 3	6	Ken Takagi	55kg	Good	1:31.40	55.1 km/h	68.6L	5-8	$160	15	$7,192	-	1. Topaz Tesoro 2. Young Jaguar 3. Miss Everest
8th of 8	12/8/26	Kasamatsu	1400m	COND 3	2	Maki Mukoyama	55kg	R	1:31.10	55.3 km/h	16.5L	7-7	$128	19	$7,192	-	1. Kokorono Hikoboshi 2. Miss Marigold 3. Usagichan
4th of 8	24/7/26	Kasamatsu	1400m	COND 3	4	Maki Mukoyama	55kg	Fast	1:33.80	53.7 km/h	9.0L	2-2	$4.90	16	$7,245	$599	1. Ridge Line 2. Bellagio No Yume 3. Orlune
9th of 10	8/7/26	Kasamatsu	1400m	COND 3	7	Shin Higashikawa	55kg	Fast	1:32.30	54.6 km/h	15.5L	2-8	$151	27	$7,245	-	1. Mjuk Thomas 2. Tsukino Kobune 3. Okano Storm
7th of 9	11/6/26	Kasamatsu	1400m	COND 3	2	Shin Higashikawa	55kg	Fast	1:31.10	55.3 km/h	39.5L	6-7	$38	14	$7,093	-	1. Shihono Sorgente 2. Chianti 3. Yamajun Young
2nd of 10	28/5/26	Kasamatsu	800m	COND 3	10	Shin Higashikawa	55kg	Fast	0:50.20	57.4 km/h	5.0L	3-3	$11	13	$7,142	$1,587	1. Lux Prophecy 2. Dan Stone Cheers 3. Travis

Ken Bridge Sakura (2) 070x9000x4
Trainer: T Taguchi(Japan)
Jockey: Ken Takagi
Weight: 55kg
Prize Money: $6,423
Win / Place: 0% / 0%

3 yo Bay Filly

Sire: TALISMANIC (GB)

Dam: KEN AMATSUKAZE (JPN)

Rating

Stats

Career

10: 0-0-0

Distance

2: 0-0-0

Trk/Dst

1: 0-0-0

Track

1: 0-0-0

Season

5: 0-0-0

1st Up

3: 0-0-0

2nd Up

2: 0-0-0

3rd Up

2: 0-0-0

4th Up

2: 0-0-0

Metro

8: 0-0-0

Non-Metro

2: 0-0-0

Turf

6: 0-0-0

Good

6: 0-0-0

Dirt

4: 0-0-0

Firm

1: 0-0-0

Clockwise

5: 0-0-0

Anti-Clockwise

5: 0-0-0

Jockey Stats

Horse

1: 0-0-0

Trainer

W 0% P 0%

Distance

W 0% P 0%

Track

W 0% P 0%

Trainer/Track

W 0% P 0%

Trainer/Distance

W 0% P 0%

Distance Range Last 6 months

1200m - 2200m

Comments

Improved enough second-up when fourth at Kasamatsu, but she was still beaten just over eight lengths after looming and failing to go on with it. Her previous run at Nakayama in a 3yo F Maiden over 2000m was a heavy defeat at big odds, and the overall record of ten starts without a place is hard to ignore. The class drop gives her some hope of a minor cheque, not a strong winning case.

Expected Settling Position: Midfield

Last Starts days since last start

Place	Date	Track	Distance	Class	Barrier	Jockey	Weight	Cond.	Race Time	Avg. Speed	Last 600m	Margin	800/400	SP	Days	Prize	Prize Won	Result
4th of 8	27/8/26	Kasamatsu	1400m	COND 3	2	Ken Takagi	55kg	Good	1:32.50	54.5 km/h	-	8.3L	2-2	$9.20	138	$7,192	$595	1. Dolls 2. Season In The Sun 3. Kitano Kosei
138 Day Spell
17th of 18	11/4/26	Nakayama	2000m	MDN F 3	6	Genki Mizunuma	52kg	Good	2:01.50	59.3 km/h	0:36.20	20.3L	8-14	$296	21	$102,930	-	1. Piece Unique 2. Satono Starlight 3. Amai Kuchizuke
11th of 13	21/3/26	Nakayama	2200m	MDN 3	13	Genki Mizunuma	52kg	Good	2:13.60	59.3 km/h	0:37.40	16.6L	12-11	$426	7	$101,660	-	1. Edel Seele 2. Red Regalia 3. Misadame Kimeru
11th of 16	14/3/26	Chukyo	1200m	MDN 3	2	Koji Nishizuka	55kg	Good	1:13.20	59.0 km/h	0:37.50	13.3L	-	$133	39	$101,660	-	1. Go Go Punch 2. Majesterra 3. Snow Lance
39 Day Freshen-Up
9th of 12	3/2/26	Kawasaki	1600m	COND 3	9	Kyosuke Maruta	54kg	Fast	1:46.30	54.2 km/h	-	12.4L	6-8	$89	87	$41,713	-	1. Summer Madness 2. Muscle 3. Dream Carry
87 Day Spell
13th of 15	8/11/25	Tokyo	1600m	MDN F 2	1	Kyosuke Maruta	55kg	Good	1:38.60	58.4 km/h	0:37.10	21.5L	-	$43	28	$105,160	-	1. Andilamena 2. Wunderbar 3. Lumi Tytto

Kitano Kosei (3) 003x3
Trainer: T Taguchi(Japan)
Jockey: Yuusuke Tsutsui
Weight: 57kg
Prize Money: $2,535
Win / Place: 0% / 50%

3 yo Chestnut Gelding

Sire: SEIUN KOSEI (JPN)

Dam: KIRA STELLA (JPN)

100

Rating

Stats

Career

4: 0-0-2

Distance

3: 0-0-2

Trk/Dst

2: 0-0-2

Track

2: 0-0-2

Season

4: 0-0-2

1st Up

2: 0-0-1

2nd Up

1: 0-0-0

3rd Up

1: 0-0-1

Metro

2: 0-0-0

Non-Metro

2: 0-0-2

Turf

1: 0-0-0

Good

1: 0-0-0

Dirt

3: 0-0-2

Firm

1: 0-0-1

Clockwise

4: 0-0-2

Jockey Stats

Horse

1: 0-0-1

Trainer

W 0% P 0%

Distance

W 0% P 0%

Track

W 0% P 0%

Trainer/Track

W 0% P 0%

Trainer/Distance

W 0% P 0%

Distance Range Last 6 months

1400m - 1800m

Comments

Placed first-up at Kasamatsu when third to Dolls, beaten eight lengths after settling rearward and starting near the top of betting. His previous run here was also a third, only two and a half lengths from Meisho Luke after being run down late, which reads well for this field. With two placings from two starts at the track and the distance suiting, he looks a genuine winning chance if he settles close enough.

Expected Settling Position: Midfield

Last Starts days since last start

Place	Date	Track	Distance	Class	Barrier	Jockey	Weight	Cond.	Race Time	Avg. Speed	Last 600m	Margin	800/400	SP	Days	Prize	Prize Won	Result
3rd of 8	27/8/26	Kasamatsu	1400m	COND 3	3	Tsutsui Yusuke	57kg	Good	1:32.50	54.5 km/h	-	8.0L	6-2	$2.50	77	$7,192	$1,003	1. Dolls 2. Season In The Sun 3. Kitano Kosei
77 Day Spell
3rd of 9	11/6/26	Kasamatsu	1400m	COND 3	3	Haruki Wada	54kg	Fast	1:29.80	56.1 km/h	-	2.5L	1-1	$33	54	$11,033	$1,532	1. Meisho Luke 2. Kaseno Soleil 3. Kitano Kosei
54 Day Freshen-Up
13th of 13	18/4/26	Nakayama	1800m	MDN 3	9	Shu Ishibashi	57kg	Good	1:54.80	56.4 km/h	0:39.10	22.9L	9-8	$160	14	$102,930	-	1. Medici Power 2. Masatche Hammer 3. Piedmont
18th of 18	4/4/26	Hanshin	1400m	MDN 3	4	Yamato Tsunoda	57kg	Good	1:21.60	61.8 km/h	0:35.30	11.0L	-	$176	-	$102,930	-	1. Mighty Kingdom 2. Aqua Eye 3. Tiger Road

Season In The Sun (4) 0x02752
Trainer: Yukiyasu Kato()
Jockey: Katsuto Maruno
Weight: 55kg
Prize Money: $3,208
Win / Place: 0% / 33%

3 yo Black Filly

Sire: MIKKI ISLE (JPN)

Dam: ANCHAN (JPN)

100

Rating

Stats

Career

6: 0-2-0

Distance

3: 0-1-0

Trk/Dst

3: 0-1-0

Track

4: 0-2-0

Season

6: 0-2-0

1st Up

2: 0-0-0

2nd Up

1: 0-1-0

3rd Up

1: 0-0-0

4th Up

1: 0-0-0

Metro

2: 0-0-0

Non-Metro

4: 0-2-0

Turf

1: 0-0-0

Good

1: 0-0-0

Dirt

5: 0-2-0

Firm

3: 0-1-0

Clockwise

6: 0-2-0

Jockey Stats

Trainer

W 0% P 0%

Distance

W 0% P 0%

Track

W 0% P 0%

Trainer/Track

W 0% P 0%

Trainer/Distance

W 0% P 0%

Distance Range Last 6 months

800m - 1800m

Comments

Found the placings at Kasamatsu last start when second to Dolls, albeit beaten five lengths after getting clear and being unable to sustain the run. She had been safely held at the same track before that, finishing fifth behind Go Legend at long odds. The recent matchup is in her favour over Kitano Kosei and Villa Lobos, but the distance query keeps her more to the place line.

Expected Settling Position: Leader

Last Starts days since last start

Place	Date	Track	Distance	Class	Barrier	Jockey	Weight	Cond.	Race Time	Avg. Speed	Last 600m	Margin	800/400	SP	Days	Prize	Prize Won	Result
2nd of 8	27/8/26	Kasamatsu	1400m	COND 3	6	Tatsuya Matsumoto	55kg	Good	1:32.50	54.5 km/h	-	5.0L	1-1	$63	15	$7,192	$1,598	1. Dolls 2. Season In The Sun 3. Kitano Kosei
5th of 7	12/8/26	Kasamatsu	1400m	COND 3	2	Tatsuya Matsumoto	55kg	Fast	1:30.60	55.6 km/h	-	8.5L	1-1	$27	19	$7,192	-	1. Go Legend 2. Maple Lovely 3. Satsuki Mermaid
7th of 8	24/7/26	Kasamatsu	1400m	COND 3	8	Junki Mochizuki	55kg	Fast	1:32.00	54.8 km/h	-	20.7L	1-2	$3.90	16	$7,245	-	1. Real Kenchan 2. Jump Street 3. Usagichan
2nd of 9	8/7/26	Kasamatsu	800m	COND 3	2	Tatsuya Matsumoto	55kg	Fast	0:49.20	58.5 km/h	-	1.0L	1-1	$49	59	$7,245	$1,610	1. Asakusa Diana 2. Season In The Sun 3. Young Jaguar
59 Day Freshen-Up
11th of 11	10/5/26	Kyoto	1800m	MDN 3	5	Haruhiko Kawasu	55kg	Good	1:53.30	57.2 km/h	-	53.1L	7-9	$124	105	$99,450	-	1. Mille Bonheurs 2. Glorious 3. Meisho Megohime
105 Day Spell
11th of 18	25/1/26	Kokura	1200m	NEWC 3	17	Hiroto Mayuzumi	55kg	Good	1:08.40	63.2 km/h	0:34.10	11.7L	-	$101	-	$117,770	-	1. Empress K 2. Fukuotoko 3. Jewel Bliss

Satsuki Mermaid (5) 0x0005435
Trainer: Kyoichi Ito()
Jockey: Takayuki Morishima
Weight: 55kg
Prize Money: $1,602
Win / Place: 0% / 12%

3 yo Bay Filly

Sire: BEACH PATROL (USA)

Dam: SATSUKI WALTZ (JPN)

Rating

Stats

Career

8: 0-0-1

Distance

4: 0-0-1

Trk/Dst

4: 0-0-1

Track

4: 0-0-1

Season

8: 0-0-1

1st Up

2: 0-0-0

2nd Up

1: 0-0-0

3rd Up

1: 0-0-0

4th Up

1: 0-0-0

Metro

4: 0-0-0

Non-Metro

4: 0-0-1

Turf

3: 0-0-0

Good

3: 0-0-0

Dirt

5: 0-0-1

Firm

3: 0-0-1

Clockwise

5: 0-0-1

Anti-Clockwise

3: 0-0-0

Jockey Stats

Horse

1: 0-0-0

Trainer

W 0% P 0%

Distance

W 0% P 0%

Track

W 0% P 0%

Trainer/Track

W 0% P 0%

Trainer/Distance

W 0% P 0%

Distance Range Last 6 months

1400m - 1800m

Comments

Worked home fairly at Kasamatsu last time after having too much ground to make up, finishing fifth to Dolls and beaten over 10 lengths. Two back she was better when third behind Go Legend, beaten three lengths despite being unwanted in the market. Her rearward pattern leaves her dependent on tempo, but a prior track-and-distance placing keeps her in the mix for the minors.

Expected Settling Position: Off Midfield

Last Starts days since last start

Place	Date	Track	Distance	Class	Barrier	Jockey	Weight	Cond.	Race Time	Avg. Speed	Margin	800/400	SP	Days	Prize	Prize Won	Result
5th of 8	27/8/26	Kasamatsu	1400m	COND 3	7	Katsuto Maruno	55kg	Good	1:32.50	54.5 km/h	10.3L	8-6	$10	15	$7,192	-	1. Dolls 2. Season In The Sun 3. Kitano Kosei
3rd of 7	12/8/26	Kasamatsu	1400m	COND 3	5	Katsuto Maruno	55kg	Fast	1:30.60	55.6 km/h	3.0L	4-4	$95	19	$7,192	$1,003	1. Go Legend 2. Maple Lovely 3. Satsuki Mermaid
4th of 6	24/7/26	Kasamatsu	1400m	COND 3	5	Katsuto Maruno	55kg	Fast	1:33.40	54.0 km/h	6.8L	6-6	$55	16	$7,245	$599	1. Tosen Sigiriya 2. Hitori Celeb 3. Drawing
5th of 11	8/7/26	Kasamatsu	1400m	COND 3	7	Soichi Kato	55kg	Fast	1:31.50	55.1 km/h	11.3L	7-7	$13	45	$7,245	-	1. A Shin Kin Dza Dza 2. Go Legend 3. Shijimino Hinako
45 Day Freshen-Up
14th of 14	24/5/26	Tokyo	1800m	MDN 3	8	Ryuichi Sugahara	55kg	Good	1:47.80	60.1 km/h	13.0L	7-6	$385	15	$99,450	-	1. Ruling Class 2. Junabela 3. Regalino
12th of 12	9/5/26	Tokyo	1800m	ALLOW 3	9	Shoma Sato	52kg	Good	1:45.40	61.5 km/h	20.5L	12-12	$494	14	$137,720	-	1. Ritz Party 2. Hold The Day 3. Amethystos

Villa Lobos (6) 806x26
Trainer: Yuya Goto(KASAMATSU)
Jockey: Seigo Tsukamoto
Weight: 55kg
Prize Money: $1,598
Win / Place: 0% / 20%

3 yo Chestnut Filly

Sire: ASIA EXPRESS (USA)

Dam: CHAROEN (JPN)

Rating

Stats

Career

5: 0-1-0

Distance

4: 0-1-0

Trk/Dst

2: 0-1-0

Track

2: 0-1-0

Season

5: 0-1-0

1st Up

2: 0-1-0

2nd Up

2: 0-0-0

3rd Up

1: 0-0-0

Metro

2: 0-0-0

Non-Metro

3: 0-1-0

Dirt

5: 0-1-0

Firm

1: 0-1-0

Clockwise

3: 0-1-0

Anti-Clockwise

2: 0-0-0

Jockey Stats

Trainer

W 0% P 0%

Distance

W 0% P 0%

Track

W 0% P 0%

Trainer/Track

W 0% P 0%

Trainer/Distance

W 0% P 0%

Distance Range Last 6 months

1200m - 1400m

Comments

Has the capacity to rebound third-up, but her latest Kasamatsu run was costly as odds-on favourite, finishing sixth to Dolls and beaten over 17 lengths without a clear excuse. The run prior was much stronger when second to Reynolds Number, beaten two lengths as another short-priced favourite and working home well. That gives her the form to win, provided she leaves the last effort behind.

Expected Settling Position: Midfield

Last Starts days since last start

Place	Date	Track	Distance	Class	Barrier	Jockey	Weight	Cond.	Race Time	Avg. Speed	Last 600m	Margin	800/400	SP	Days	Prize	Prize Won	Result
6th of 8	27/8/26	Kasamatsu	1400m	COND 3	4	Tatsuya Watanabe	55kg	Good	1:32.50	54.5 km/h	-	17.3L	2-5	$1.90f	15	$7,192	-	1. Dolls 2. Season In The Sun 3. Kitano Kosei
2nd of 7	12/8/26	Kasamatsu	1400m	COND 3	7	Junki Mochizuki	55kg	Fast	1:30.10	55.9 km/h	-	2.0L	3-1	$1.60f	78	$7,192	$1,598	1. Reynolds Number 2. Villa Lobos 3. Arde Nine
78 Day Spell
6th of 11	26/5/26	Urawa	1400m	COND 3	6	Haruto Nakayama	53kg	Good	1:29.90	56.1 km/h	-	6.4L	8-7	$14	52	$47,611	-	1. Hold Me Once 2. Reina Barows 3. Kashino Yumemizuki
52 Day Freshen-Up
10th of 16	4/4/26	Nakayama	1200m	MDN 3	16	Yusuke Hara	55kg	Good	1:12.00	60.0 km/h	0:37.50	11.0L	-	$21	41	$102,930	-	1. Ecoro Baron 2. Criollo Gold 3. Raika
41 Day Freshen-Up
8th of 16	22/2/26	Tokyo	1400m	NEWC 3	13	Yusuke Hara	55kg	Good	1:27.60	57.5 km/h	0:38.80	16.8L	-	$13	-	$114,290	-	1. Rose Bouquet 2. Ravi Prendre 3. Trend March

Super Carmen (7) 0000x553
Trainer: Hiroyoshi Kawashima()
Jockey: Ichito Matsumoto
Weight: 55kg
Prize Money: $1,003
Win / Place: 0% / 14%

3 yo Bay Filly

Sire: MISCHEVIOUS ALEX (USA)

Dam: MAYA BRILLIANT (JPN)

Rating

Stats

Career

7: 0-0-1

Distance

6: 0-0-1

Trk/Dst

3: 0-0-1

Track

3: 0-0-1

Season

7: 0-0-1

1st Up

2: 0-0-0

2nd Up

2: 0-0-0

3rd Up

2: 0-0-1

4th Up

1: 0-0-0

Metro

4: 0-0-0

Non-Metro

3: 0-0-1

Turf

1: 0-0-0

Good

1: 0-0-0

Dirt

6: 0-0-1

Firm

2: 0-0-0

Clockwise

7: 0-0-1

Jockey Stats

Horse

3: 0-0-1

Trainer

W 0% P 0%

Distance

W 0% P 0%

Track

W 0% P 0%

Trainer/Track

W 0% P 0%

Trainer/Distance

W 0% P 0%

Distance Range Last 6 months

1200m - 1400m

Comments

Did place at Kasamatsu last start, but the margin tells the story as she was beaten over 11 lengths by Butchigire after only working home evenly. Two back she finished a distant last behind Reynolds Number and was never a factor from back in the field. The class drop and race fitness are small positives, but she needs a sizeable performance lift to trouble the main chances.

Expected Settling Position: Off Pace

Last Starts days since last start

Place	Date	Track	Distance	Class	Barrier	Jockey	Weight	Cond.	Race Time	Avg. Speed	Last 600m	Margin	800/400	SP	Days	Prize	Prize Won	Result
3rd of 8	27/8/26	Kasamatsu	1400m	COND 3	3	Tatsuya Matsumoto	55kg	Good	1:31.80	54.9 km/h	-	11.0L	2-3	$14	15	$7,192	$1,003	1. Butchigire 2. Maruka Smash 3. Super Carmen
5th of 7	12/8/26	Kasamatsu	1400m	COND 3	2	Tatsuya Matsumoto	55kg	Fast	1:30.10	55.9 km/h	-	35.5L	4-5	$11	19	$7,192	-	1. Reynolds Number 2. Villa Lobos 3. Arde Nine
5th of 6	24/7/26	Kasamatsu	1400m	COND 3	3	Tatsuya Matsumoto	55kg	Fast	1:33.40	54.0 km/h	-	8.3L	1-2	$3.40	76	$7,245	-	1. Tosen Sigiriya 2. Hitori Celeb 3. Drawing
76 Day Spell
14th of 16	9/5/26	Kyoto	1400m	MDN 3	9	Manabu Sakai	55kg	Good	1:20.30	62.8 km/h	-	15.2L	12-12	$426	14	$99,450	-	1. King Cape 2. Chuwa Melody 3. Monchique
10th of 16	25/4/26	Kyoto	1400m	MDN 3	1	Kanta Taguchi	55kg	Good	1:24.70	59.5 km/h	0:37.80	15.3L	-	$474	28	$102,930	-	1. Realize Bright 2. Mozu Plus Fort 3. Peptide Leon
14th of 16	28/3/26	Hanshin	1200m	MDN 3	7	Seiya Morita	52kg	Good	1:12.50	59.6 km/h	0:37.90	11.3L	-	$399	13	$101,660	-	1. Red Levendis 2. Welcome Song 3. Namura Rodin

Race Review Abbreviations

3WNC: Three wide no cover, Awk: Awkwardly away, Bk: Back, Blkd: Blocked, Btld: Battled, Chal: Challenged, Chkd: Checked, Cvr: Cover, Fdd: Faded, Fght: Fought, Fin: Finish, Hdd: Headed, Hld up: Held up, Hmprd: Hampered, Hndy: Handy, Kikd: Kicked, Kn: Keen, Ld: Led/Lead, Midf: Midfield, Mod pc: Moderate pace, Otf: On the Fence, ROS: Ran on strongly, Slow: Slow away, Snagd: Snagged, Stld: Settled, Tn: Turn, Trld: Trailed, Under pres: Under pressure, Under rd: Under riding, Urgd: Urged, Wd: Wide, Wdr: Wider, Weavd: Weaved, Wknd: Weakened, Wrkd: Worked

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